When Google predicted Android growth in 2010, it underestimated the potential of the OS. But a windfall did not follow, says an analyst who crunched data recently unveiled in the Oracle v. Google trial.
Back in 2010, Google thought Android had some very nice potential for growth -- at the time, it projected its mobile operating system might even reach more than 200 million installed users by 2013.
Turns out Google was wrong: it busted through the 200 million threshold in 2011 instead and is now on a trajectory for more than 700 million users in 2013.
All this number-crunching is based on Google's internal estimates for Android growth, which recently came out during the Oracle patent trial (see slideshow below). Asymco analyst Horace Dediu dug through the data and compared it with the activation announcements that have been made public to determine that Google greatly underestimated Android's potential.
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